The climatological peak - or busiest time of year - for the tropical Atlantic passed this past weekend on September 12. You'd expect the Atlantic to be filled with activity at this point.
But even though we're in the thick of hurricane season, it's been uncharacteristically quiet so far. There's no named storms right now, but there is a pair of tropical waves, each with a 20% chance of development.
You can find a more detailed post about current tropical activity here.
So far this year we've seen five named storms - the most recent two being hurricanes. We had Tropical Storm Alex at the beginning of June, Tropical Storm Bonnie at the end of June, and Tropical Storm Colin at the beginning of July.
In mid-August, Potential Tropical Cyclone Four impacted the Texas-Mexico border. Hurricanes Danielle and Earl both got their beginnings in early September, but have both dissipated since.
Coming off the last two hurricane seasons (2020 and 2021) makes this year seem that much more quieter. At this time last year (Sep. 12, 2021), we'd already seen 14 named storms in the Atlantic. At the end of the 2021 season, all names on the primary Atlantic hurricane list had been used.
This hurricane season has seen below-average activity to date. On average, we see eight named storms, including three hurricanes and one major hurricane (Category 3+). The hyperactive 2020 and 2021 seasons had seen ten and six more named storms than normal, respectively. This year there's only been five.
So it's true that it's been a quieter season so far, and that the odds of a tropical system impacting Texas become slimmer heading into October, but it's always best to stay prepared.
It only takes one storm impacting your area to make for an active year.